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Dr. Dennis Todey | archive news |
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click here for graphic version
04.16.03
05.09.03
05.20.03
05.27.03
06.03.03
06.10.03
06.17.03
06.24.03
07.01.03
07.15.03
07.22.03
07.29.03
08.12.03
08.26.03
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 04.16.03 Slow
Drought Improvement
The most
recent Drought
Monitor has upgraded western South Dakota to a D2 (severe drought).
This has resulted from above near to above average precipitation
over the last 6 months. Particularly in the last 30
days, above average precipitation
has begun slow drought improvement. Dryer conditions in eastern South Dakota
have introduced D0 (moderate drought conditions) in this area.
Long
range forecasts give no good indication of above/below average spring
and summer precipitation. Thus, slow improvement seems to be the
best course. Dennis
Todey
State Climatologist Coming Soon:
Soil Temperature Maps
back to top
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ARCHIVE NEWS 05.09.03 Precipitation
during the period April 14-20 brought widespread rain across South
Dakota. While amounts varied greatly, widespread > 1.0" amounts occurred
over the eastern ¾ of the state. Several heavier amounts were reported
on April 14-15 as Aberdeen (0.99"), Sisseton (1.08"), and Kennebec
(1.33") set record precipitation amounts for the day. Other isolated >2" amounts
were noted in Kadoka. The storm system also brought severe weather
in the form of large hail near Yankton and Sioux Falls. These events
followed record temperatures earlier in the week ahead of the strong
area of low pressure.
The
rain interrupted a very dry period in South Dakota. Except for the
snow fall in the
southeast part of the state on April 6-7, this rainfall was the first
significant precipitation since the middle of March for much of the
eastern part of the state. On the average we would expect over 2" of
precipitation during this time. March precipitation totals for many
locations were less than an inch.
The rainfall has
improved surface moisture conditions. And subsoil conditions at least
the eastern part of the state are considered adequate according to
South Dakota Ag Statistics as of April 13. While this rainfall
improves the dry situation, more is needed to correct the dry conditions. Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 05.20.03
A
dry period in March and early April has given way to above average
precipitation throughout most
of the state over the last 30 days. Precipitation totals have been larger
than normal throughout most of the state except for a couple isolated
locations and the far northwest.
This
moves precipitation totals in the right direction, but still does not overcome
the longer term precipitation deficits over the last 1–2 years. Precipitation
deficits are still 6–9” in the south central and north central parts
of the state. But the drought
severity has been reduced for most of the state
as indicated by the Drought
Monitor.
The
outlook for the period 05.12 – 05.16 from the Climate Prediction Center
calls for cooler and wetter conditions over most of the state.
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
back to top
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ARCHIVE NEWS 05.27.03 Low
temperatures over the western 2/3 of South Dakota fell to below freezing
during the early morning hours of 20 May 2003. Particularly hard
hit were areas in the southwest and northwest parts of the state where
temperatures fell to the
mid 20’s at
several locations for several hours. Temperatures in the Black Hills were
as low as 16°F at Deerfield. The Rapid City Airport set a record low
temperature of 25°F.
These
temperatures were cold enough to do damage to crops depending on the crop and
stage of development. Damage information is still being gathered.
How
uncommon are such temperatures this late in the spring? Let’s look at a
couple locations. Here are the average last dates of the following temperatures
for the period 1971-2000.
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32°F |
28°F |
24°F |
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Brookings
Pine Ridge
Buffalo
Mobridge
Pierre
Aberdeen |
5/11
5/17
5/24
5/4
5/2
5/7
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4/29
5/4
5/7
4/22
4/22
4/26 |
4/18
4/26
4/26
4/9
4/12
4/15 |
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While
the mid-20’s temperatures experienced are not unprecedented, they
are uncommon for this time of year. In fewer than 1 out of 10 years would
you expect such a late freeze
in these areas.
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
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ARCHIVE NEWS 06.03.03 Temperatures
over the Memorial Day weekend warmed to near average highs creating
a very nice weekend for campers and other enjoying outdoor activities.
These near-average temperatures were very uncommon for South Dakota
this May. Much of the month has been below average for temperatures
for much of the state. Cooler temperatures
and moist soils in many areas slowed field work and limited the development
of seed already planted. Several county extension educators had reported
a slowed accumulation of GDDs. Let’s look at how GDDs (50-86)
are accumulating compared to average at a few example sites. (Note
the slight difference in accumulation period)
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Brookings
Redfield
Beresford
Cottonwood |
Apr.
26-May 27 2003
Accumulation
214
236
253
239
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Average
May
Accumulation
306
320
379
345 |
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The
loss of GDDs early in the season comes at a time that could benefit
crops since above average temperatures would spur development usually
without stressing the crop. Higher than average temperatures would
not stress the crop at this time of year, particularly where soil conditions
are moist. The seasonal accumulation will have to be monitored for
continued slow development.
Users can calculate
their own GDD accumulation from data from the research farms around
the state at http://climate.sdstate.edu/w_info/Query/gdd.htm . Other
stations will be added to this feature to provide more complete state
coverage.
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
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ARCHIVE NEWS 06.10.03 Cool conditions persisted
in the last week across South Dakota seemingly limiting crop development.
Crop progress, though, seems to continue to progress.
Crop
conditions as reported by the Ag Statistics service continue as expected. Most
planting
and progress is near the 5-year average, except for soybeans, which are
23% emerged. This compares with the 5-yr average of 39% emerged by this
date. Sunflower planting also lags the 5-yr average of41% at a weekly
value of 19%. (Numbers taken from the Weekly
Weather and Crop Bulletin for data through June 1). These numbers
are interesting when comparing the average temperatures over the last
30 days in the eastern part of the state especially. Cold conditions
continue to linger with fewer than 5 days above average over the last
month in the eastern part of the state.
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| 30
Day Average Temperatures |
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Sioux
Falls
Aberdeen
Pierre
Rapid City |
-2.7°F
-3.2°F
-2.6°F
-0.1°F |
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Nearly
the whole state has experienced below average temperatures during the
last 30 days. While this has
likely limited crop development somewhat, it has reduced evaporative demand.
With all but part of the north-central and northeast part of the state being
dry over
the same 30-day period, the limited rainfall has been less of a detriment. The
8-14 day outlook from the Climate
Prediction Center calls
for ac continuation of near to below average temperatures with near to
above average rainfall.
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
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ARCHIVE NEWS 06.17.03 Severe weather rumbled
over a large part of South Dakota for the second time in a week (several
hail storms occurred on June 5th). Southeastern South Dakota was the
location of most of the severe weather on both days. The most common
severe report was large hail as it was for the severe weather situation
last week. The
report of the largest hail was from Yankton with a 2” diameter report.
Many
other
locations reported 1” or larger hail. The storm reports from South Dakota
and the country can be seen in the included graphic. A few tornado reports and
other wind
gusts above
50 mph were also reported.
One trailer was destroyed by high winds near Fulton by high winds.
Other damage reports are still being gathered. The more severe damage seems to
have been from some larger tornadoes near O’Neill, NE.
While
the severe weather was not welcome, the storms brought some needed rain to some
very dry counties. Yankton was the big winner with 1.4” of precipitation.
These storms followed a week of small sporadic rainfalls across the state. Most
of the state received some rain last week as small showers developed and dissipated
on several days. The total rainfall from most of these was a few tenths. This
was enough to hold off dry conditions, but not improve the situation. Sisseton
and the
northern Black Hills were the big winners of the week reporting over 2” of
rain. Most other locations totaled over an inch. Average values for this time
of year range from about 2/3” per week in the northwest to near an inch
per week in the east.
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 06.24.03 Contrasts
in rainfall seem to be the watchword over the state. Many locations
in the state have received relatively heavy rainfalls. Many of these
have been isolated as thunderstorms have fired over an area while moving
little. Thus, if you were in a storm you received decent rainfall,
while locations nearby received little. Light winds in the upper atmosphere
have been the culprit as storms that occurred had little push to move.
Thus, rainfall was confined and not widespread.
This situation was carried to an extreme in the western in
Fall River and Shannon Counties where flooding occurred over the weekend and
Tuesday as storms dropped 2-4+ inch rains to produce localized flooding near
Pine Ridge. Nearby stations are still behind on 30-day total precipitation
(see Fig.). Rainfall in the northeast and Black Hills has greatly improved their
drought
situation. Overall, conditions remain fairly dry across the state as areas
of the north central and northwest have had little rain to help improve the dryness. Coming soon (temporal
plots for the real-time data).
Dennis Todey
State Climatologist
back to top
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ARCHIVE NEWS 07.01.03
The severe weather
of the last couple weeks that had consisted mainly of hail and wind damage
took a more serious turn Tuesday night as many confirmed tornadoes occurred
in eastern South Dakota. The total number of tornadoes and the amount
of damage are being determined by National Weather Service damage survey
teams. But estimates of several dozen tornadoes in South Dakota alone
are possible. Damage was reported in many southeastern South Dakota counties
by the tornadoes.
In addition
crop damage reports are trickling in from the county extension offices. Some
wind damage has been reported as well as some flooding damage, especially in
the Lincoln, Clay and Turner County areas where radar estimated precipitation
indicates possibly over 5” of rain in some locations (see Fig.). (Just
for comparison; that’s about half of what parts of the northwest part of
the state received all last year!).
The severe weather event drew many storm chasers to the area
leading to some impressive storm photos. Some are posted on various media sites
including www.keloland.com and www.argusleader.com.
One
other significant meteorological event of the week was a report of extremely
large hail in Nebraska. A National Weather Service employee from Omaha verified
a report of a single hailstone that was 6.5” in diameter and 17.4” in
circumference. This is slightly smaller than the largest hailstone ever recorded
from Coffeyville, KS in 1970. Damage from these hailstones in Nebraska caused
10-12” divots in the ground and produced a hole in a roof large enough
to crawl through.
Dennis Todey
State
Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 07.15.03:
Early week temperatures finally reached the 100 mark for the first time this
year as Philip reached a high of 103 F. Most other stations west of the
river also had highs well in to the 90s. This is the first stretch of
very hot weather for the year. The hot temperatures will probably stress
vegetation which has received just enough rainfall this spring and early
summer to green-up in many locations, but not enough to completely correct
the drought conditions. Reports from extension educators and specialists
have noted that pasture production has been lower despite the green-up.
Some areas of the west have received little rainfall still. The cooler
temperatures have reduced the possible stress and limited the evaporation
from ponds to conserve the limited moisture.
How much has the coolness limited crop development? In previous
weeks we have shown images of how cool the temperatures were compared to average
(archives).
This week we include the growing degree days accumulated since May 1 for the
state. You can see from the image that the cool spring has kept GDDs below average
for the state. Deviations vary but are around 10% below average for most locations.
Little “catch-up” will occur at this time of year since climatological
average highs are near the maximum of 86 F. Despite this, crop reports show that
development is near expected for this time of year.
According to data released by the South Dakota Ag Statistics
service (July 1), oat and spring wheat heading are ahead of the 5 year average
(oat 83% - 2003, 67% - 5yr average; spring wheat 86% - 2003, 72% - 5yr average).
Corn and bean indicators are near average for this time of year. The next marks
to watch for in development are corn tasseling later this month.
Crop conditions are generally centered around the good category,
except for winter wheat which has 4% very poor and 11% poor this week. Pasture
and range condition were listed as 3% poor and 11% very poor. This may drop based
on the heat of this week.
Something to note on the web site this week during the higher
temperatures and dew points is a map
of current statewide heat index values. These are the National Weather Service
calculation of the hourly index combining the heat and moisture content of the
air for humans. The ones for livestock are different. We will be providing these
soon as well as a length of time above certain criteria. This will assist livestock
owners in tracking the length of hazardous conditions for your livestock.
Dennis Todey
State
Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 07.22.03:
High
temperatures again pushed over the century mark in the western part
of the state during the week of July 6-13. The big winner seems to
have been Philip at 109 F. This is causing problems for some pasture
and range land in areas that have not received sufficient precipitation
to recharge soil moisture. The lack of a soil moisture bank has ended
the production of cool season grasses and is limiting the growth of
warm season grasses. The reports of the worst situation seem to be
confirmed in and around the Butte County area. Note the area on the
satellite-derived vegetation map on the image at left. (Click
to enlarge it). The areas in red and park are colored to reflect
the most stressed vegetation. The Butte County area is the center of
the worst part of the state.
Another
odd location exists in the far northeast part of the state. You may remember
the pictures of flooding from Roberts County from mid-June. Many areas of Marshall,
Day and Roberts Counties had 7-8”+ of rain during June. These amounts contrasted
impressively with Grant County where totals were only 1.25-1.5” for June.
NEW
WEB SITE FEATURE: Crop
Water Use
The new part of the
web site to feature this week is a feature that allows you to calculate
water use for corn, beans, or alfalfa. To view this page, go to:
http://climate.sdstate.edu/w_info/et/et.htm.
You can choose your location around the state, the time period, and
the crop. You will get water use information as well as the meteorological
data used to derive the water use. Check it out and let us know if
you have any comments.
Dennis Todey
State
Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 07.29.03:
The feature this week will spotlight a few of the new aspects of the climate
web site. A recent change to improve the loading speed has been to move
this feature to its own page, where you can also find an archive of previous
news features to review timely topics or search for different climate/weather
events. Note that you can also click on a link on the home page to choose
a text-only page if you have a very slow connection. CROP
WATER USE:
With the help of Chirag Shukla (state climate programmer) and Dr. Hal Werner,
extension irrigation specialist, we now have a page where you can calculate
the estimated water use by corn, beans or alfalfa during the growing season.
You can accumulate these throughout the growing season based on your choice
of dates. BROOKINGS
WEATHER DATA:
For those of our users located in and near Brookings needing Brookings data,
you can find current and historical data for Brookings. Click on the Brookings
weather data link to be able to download daily data through yesterday on the
web site. BROOKINGS/DELL
RAPIDS CURRENT WEATHER (EMPACT):
If you want to know what is happening right now in Brookings or Dell Rapids,
click on the link taking you to that page (you’ll find this at the bottom
of the main page). You will find a table showing conditions up to the last
update (within 5 minutes). But you can also hit the condition description to
see a plot of the data for that calendar day for temperature, humidity, wind
speed and direction, solar radiation and rainfall. See how much rain is occurring
on the Agronomy Farm northeast of the SDSU campus while it happens! Let us know if there
are other features you would like to see. We are continuing to add
more data and features on a weekly basis.
There may be problems in getting current data out from July
25-29 as power will be off in the building for an upgrade. The web site should
still work for other data through the time. Let us know if something isn’t
working.
We are also available for talks if you would like someone to
do a climate/weather presentation for your group. You’ll find contact information
on the main page.
Dennis Todey
State
Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 08.12.03:
The improving dryness conditions have stopped and begun slipping backward throughout
the month on July. Despite below-average rains in June, conditions had
not worsened. Rains have slowed greatly over most of the west-river area.
Coupled with extremely hot conditions, the drought from the last several
years has become apparent again. Philip, Chamberlain and Winner all recorded
high temperatures above 110°F last week.
Rapid City is an excellent example. Rainfall for July has been
0.49” through July 28. The monthly average total is 2.03”. As is
usually the case in Plains, dry conditions are associated with warm temperatures.
High temperatures in Rapid City have been at or above 95°F 12 of the 28 days
in July and at or above 100°F 5 days. This has stressed vegetation that was
surviving on less than average precipitation already (Fig 1). Note the red area
arcing around the north and east sides of the Black Hills in the included satellite-derived
image. Red areas are stressed, blue and green areas are not stressed. Compared
to last year the situation is not nearly as dire.
Reports of stressed crops are occurring even in the eastern
part of the state as areas that have missed the rainfalls in July are showing
the stress of the lack of moisture. Note that while the west has seen the worst
of the conditions, most of the state is below average on rainfall for the last
30 days (Fig. 2).
What is the good news? Climatologically, temperatures start
cooling at this time of year, reducing the water use of crops. And the 6-10 day
and 8-14 day outlooks include an improved chance of precipitation in particularly
the western part of the state.
Dennis Todey
State
Climatologist
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ARCHIVE
NEWS 08.26.03:
DROUGHT
GEARS UP
The warm
temperatures and lack of rainfall during July have returned the western 1/2 -
2/3 of South Dakota to drought or near-drought conditions. Early season rainfall
maintained some semblance of moisture. But after the third week of June, little
substantial rainfall has occurred over much of the state. Many associated problems
have surfaced.
Fire Danger conditions in the western part of the state are
very high to extreme. You can find this image updated daily at: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/unr/firewx/counties_grass.htm
Reported from extension educators have indicated crops
firing from the heat and dryness. Some areas are considering chopping for silage.
Range conditions continue to worsen and water supplies are short in some areas
or have poor quality.
What
is the good news out of this? This deterioration overall is not as bad as last
year and has occurred about a month later in the summer. Since we are well into
the climatological period of decreasing temperatures, the moisture demand will
be falling off. Unfortunately, current
8-14 forecasts don’t give indications of big improvement in moisture. Rainfall Totals in
Western SD for July:
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Cottonwood
Bison
Oelrichs
Edgemont
Faith
Martin
Ft. Meade
Hill City |
0.44
1.45
0.23
0.05
0.08
1.04
1.28
0.16 |
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Dennis
Todey
State Climatologist
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